Perpetuity

A perpetuity is an annuity in which the constant periodic payments begin on a fixed date and continue indefinitely. It is sometimes referred to as a perpetual annuity. Examples include:

An infinite stream of payments has, surprisingly, a finite price, because receipts far in the future are worth almost nothing today. There is no principal to repay — the stream is the whole asset. Assuming payments begin at the end of the current period, the price is simply the periodic payment over the appropriate discount rate:

PV = M r

The intuition takes one sentence: a pot of PV invested at rate r throws off PV × r of income every year forever without shrinking, so for that income to equal M, the pot must be Mr.

The growing perpetuity — the version you will actually use. A fixed payment forever is rare. A payment that grows forever is everywhere: rents that rise with inflation, dividends that increase annually, a business whose earnings creep up with the economy. If the payment grows at a constant rate g < r, the sum still converges, to:

PV = M1 r g

where M1 is the payment one period from now. This is the Gordon growth model, and it underpins critical formulas across the rest of this book:

Stock valuation

With M1 the next dividend, this is the dividend discount model. A stock paying $3 next year, growing 4% annually, at a 9% required return, is worth $3(0.09 0.04) = $60.

Real estate cap rates

The capitalization rate is this formula inverted. Value = NOIcap rate — where NOI is net operating income, the property’s rents minus operating expenses, before financing — is exactly a perpetuity, which means a cap rate represents r g (a required return net of expected growth), not a simple dividend yield. That is why identical buildings trade at different cap rates in different markets: the market is pricing different g (section “Capitalization Rate (CAP rate)”).

DCF terminal value

Any discounted cash flow model must stop projecting at some point and assume a steady state. The terminal value at year N is CN+1 rg , discounted back — and in most models it accounts for most of the total valuation.

Handle g with suspicion. The denominator r g is a small difference between two uncertain numbers, which makes the result violently sensitive to both. With r = 9%: at g = 4% the multiple is 20×; at g = 6% it is 33×; at g = 7% it is 50×. A two-point change in an assumption nobody can verify nearly doubled the valuation. And if you ever find yourself with g r, the formula returns a negative or infinite value — which is the math telling you the assumption is mathematically impossible, not signaling an infinitely valuable asset. No business grows faster than its discount rate forever; if it did, it would eventually become the entire economy. Cap long-run g at something near nominal GDP growth and treat any model that needs more as a model built to reach a predetermined answer.

One application deserves the last word, because it governs the retirement chapters: a portfolio meant to last forever is a growing perpetuity in reverse. Sustainable spending is the real return net of the growth you must retain to keep pace with inflation — the structural reason safe withdrawal rates cluster in the 3–4% range instead of the 7% headline return (section “Safe Withdrawal Rate — Why 4%?”).