The market price of a bond is the sum of the present value of its remaining contractually obligated cash flows (periodic coupon payments and the principal repayment at maturity), discounted at the market’s required rate of return. This required rate of return is the bond’s yield to maturity (YTM).
Where:
A bond trades at par when its market price equals its face value. If prevailing market interest rates rise above the bond’s coupon rate, the bond’s price falls below par, trading at a discount to provide a competitive yield to new buyers. Conversely, if market rates fall below the coupon rate, the bond’s price rises above par, trading at a premium.
To evaluate a bond’s return profile, you must distinguish between different yield measures:
The contractually fixed annual interest rate paid on the face value.
The annual coupon income divided by the current market price (). This measures the immediate cash flow return but ignores the capital gain or loss realized as the bond converges to par at maturity.
The internal rate of return (IRR) earned on the bond if held to maturity, assuming all coupon payments are reinvested at the same YTM rate.
Interest rate risk is quantified using duration. Macaulay duration measures the weighted average time until all cash flows are received, expressed in years. To determine a bond’s price sensitivity to interest rate movements, you must calculate its modified duration ():
Where is the annualized YTM and is the compounding frequency per year. The percentage change in a bond’s market price () in response to a small change in yield () is approximated by:
For example, if a bond has a modified duration of 8.0 years and market interest rates increase by 100 basis points (1.00%), the bond’s market price will decline by approximately 8.0%. High-duration assets are highly volatile and sensitive to changes in the discount rate, whereas low-duration assets preserve capital stability.